In Foreign Affairs, Henrik Hiim, Magnus Troan and I wrote a short piece summarizing our much longer article in International Security. Read the article here.
China’s Potential Lessons from Ukraine for Conflict Over Taiwan
In The Washington Quarterly, I examine potential lessons China may be learning from Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. Read the article here.
Two Paths: Why States Join or Avoid China’s Belt and Road Initiative
An article with outstanding MIT students that examines why countries do—or do not—choose to formally join China’s Belt and Road Initiative. Read the article here or via a PDF.
The Myth of Chinese Diversionary War
In Foreign Affairs, I challenge the conventional wisdom that China under Xi is prone to engage in diversionary war behavior. Read the article here.
The Dynamics of an Entangled Security Dilemma: China’s Changing Nuclear Posture
In International Security, Henrik Hiim, Magnus Troan, and I examine the drivers of the expansion and modernization of China’s nuclear forces. Read the article here.
Managing United States–China University Relations and Risks
A summary in Science of the report by the MIT China Strategy group. Read the article here.
How Much Risk Should the United States Run in the South China Sea?
In International Security, Charles Glaser and I examine US policy options for resisting China in the South China Sea. Read the article here.
How to Avoid a War Over Taiwan
A short essay in Foreign Affairs with several colleagues, drawing on a longer report by the Task Force on US-China policy. Read the article here.
China’s Military Strategy for a ‘New Era’
In the Journal of Strategic Studies, Joel Wuthnow and I examine the military strategic guidelines for China’s People’s Liberation Army adopted by the Central Military Commission in 2019. This strategy was consistent with the previous one from 2014 but framed by Xi’s political consolidation, growing threats from the United States and Taiwan, and a new military …
China’s nuclear arsenal is growing. What does that mean for U.S.-China relations?
For the Washington Post‘s Monkey Cage, Fiona Cunningham and I examine the implications of China’s expanding nuclear arsenal. Read it here.