In International Security, Henrik Hiim, Magnus Troan, and I examine the drivers of the expansion and modernization of China’s nuclear forces.
Read the article here.
Author: Taylor Fravel
Managing United States–China University Relations and Risks
A summary in Science of the report by the MIT China Strategy group. Read the article here.
How Much Risk Should the United States Run in the South China Sea?
In International Security, Charles Glaser and I examine US policy options for resisting China in the South China Sea.
Read the article here.
How to Avoid a War Over Taiwan
A short essay in Foreign Affairs with several colleagues, drawing on a longer report by the Task Force on US-China policy. Read the article here.
China’s Military Strategy for a ‘New Era’
In the Journal of Strategic Studies, Joel Wuthnow and I examine the military strategic guidelines for China’s People’s Liberation Army adopted by the Central Military Commission in 2019.
This strategy was consistent with the previous one from 2014 but framed by Xi’s political consolidation, growing threats from the United States and Taiwan, and a new military structure. We document the strategy and then consider what would lead to a more fundamental change in the future.
Read the article here.
China’s nuclear arsenal is growing. What does that mean for U.S.-China relations?
For the Washington Post‘s Monkey Cage, Fiona Cunningham and I examine the implications of China’s expanding nuclear arsenal.
Read it here.
China Engages the Arctic
In an article in Asian Security, “China engages the Arctic: a great power in a regime complex,” Kathryn Lavelle, Liselotte Odgaard and I examine how China pursues its interests in the Arctic.
Specifically, we how and when it seeks to work through the existing “regime complex” versus engaging in bilateral cooperation with Arctic states. We find that China relies on global regimes regarding navigational issues, prefers bilateral cooperation for resource extraction, and prioritizes Arctic regimes to pursue scientific research. As a great power, China can and does use institutional complexity to its advantage.
Read the article here.
Stormy Seas: The South China Sea in US-China Relations
In this book chapter, Kacie Miura and I examine the role of the disputes in the South China Sea in the evolution of US-China relations.
Based on an examination of American and Chinese views of each other’s role in these waters over the last decade, we argue that the dispute has increased the scope and intensity of security competition between the United States and China. Each side now views the SCS disputes as a litmus test for the other’s intentions—for China, whether the US seeks to contain it; for the US, whether China seeks to overturn the existing regional order.
It appeared in a terrific volume on US-China relations edited by Avery Goldstein and Jacques De Lisle, After Engagement: Dilemmas in U.S.-China Security Relations.
Read the chapter here.
China and India are pulling back from the brink
For the Washington Post‘s Monkey Cage, I examine the latest on the China-India border.
Read it here.
A ‘China in the World’ Paradigm for Scholarship
Along with Melanie Manion and Yuhua Wang, I contributed to the introduction to a special issue of Studies in Comparative International Development. In the issue, we explore how to define scholarship that purposefully migrates across the traditional borders of comparative politics and international relations in the study of China.
Read the introduction here.