For The National Interest, I assess the strategic implications of the tribunal’s award.
I stress three implications: Read more
For The Washington Post, I examine why China cares so much about its territorial claims in the South China Sea.
I do so by comparing briefly why China was able to settle so many of its land boundary disputes but so few of its offshore island disputes.
The reasons are: Read more
In a new article in the China Brief, I show that terminology in the 2015 defense white paper indicates that China has officially changed its national military strategy. The goal of the new strategy is “winning informationized local wars,” with an emphasis on the maritime domain.
This marks only the ninth military strategy that China has adopted since the founding of the PRC in 1949 and will guide the PLA’s approach to modernization in the coming decade.
To read the article, point your browsers here
Last week, the Carnegie Endowment issued a strategic net assessment of the Asia-Pacific region that I and many others contributed to writing.
The report takes a long view, looking out over the next 5-25 years, and outlines five possible futures that range for more cooperative to more conflictual outcomes as well as recommendations for avoiding the most dangerous outcomes.